Dynasty Analysis
The crew welcomes Josh Houtz (@houtz) to discuss 2019 Market …
Capology 101: 2019 Market Value Report – Miami Dolphins with Josh Houtz Read More »
Here I’ll take a look at Fantasy Football Calculator’s half PPR ADP data and pick out a few players from their top 30 overall players that I will not be drafting in 2019 redraft leagues. You might notice a pattern to this list, specifically that every player you’re going to read about is a running back. To be clear, there are plenty of running backs I love………………….
NFC East Bold Predictions, AFC East Fever Watch and Crossfire! …
Rookie Fever Episode 45 – NFC East Bold Predictions, AFC East Fever Watch and Crossfire! Read More »
On Thursday night the Philadelphia Eagles locked down Carson Wentz for what will now be the next six seasons, with a four-year $128 million extension. This ensures that Wentz will be leading the Eagles for the foreseeable future, while still giving Wentz a shot at one more long-term contract, at the end of this newly signed one, when he’ll still be just 32 years old.
Welcome to Episode 78 of the @DynastyTradesHQ Podcast! “Davis Mattek …
Every year there is an impact player or two that falls through the cracks of rookie drafts. Identifying these players and drafting them puts your team ahead of the curve. This year, I believe one of these players is San Francisco 49ers WR, Jalen Hurd. The third round selection in the 2019 NFL Draft, is a 6’5”, 230-pound athlete who is still new to the position of WR. Hurd came out of Beech Senior High in Henderson, Tennessee as the eighth best RB in the country, according to ESPN.Despite having offers from Alabama, Georgia, LSU, and Florida, Jalen decided to stay close to home and attend Tennessee. Jalen dominated in his first two years at Tennessee, carrying his Derrick Henry-esque frame for 2,595 total yards, and 21 touchdowns. His sophomore season, of 1,475 yards and 14 touchdowns, is particularly impressive, considering he did this starting over the future Pro Bowler, Alvin Kamara.In 2016 Jalen Hurd realized he wanted to prolong his playing career and make the switch to WR. His request to play WR was denied by the staff at Tennessee. This ultimately lead Hurd to decide to transfer out of Tennessee. In 2018, Jalen Hurd took the field as a starting WR for the Baylor Bears. In his first year playing WR, Hurd had 69 catches for 949 yards and 4 touchdowns. He also added 209 yards and 3 touchdowns as a situational RB.After the 2019 NFL Draft, I decided to create a “model” to help with my personal WR rankings. I was pleasantly surprised when Jalen Hurd came out as the fourth best WR. To create this model, I gave grades for film, analytics, opportunity, and draft capital, to all drafted WRs. (I hope to provide more insight about my “model” in the future).
In this series of articles, I will set stat-lines and ask our writers to give a quick take on the outlook of various players for the 2019 season. Now that the NFL draft is long gone and the @DFF_Redraft team has had plenty of time to process it, what better place to start than with the latest crop of rookies entering the League in 2019. Let’s get started:
With the NFL offseason upon us, it’s the perfect time to review your dynasty team, make roster moves, and approach other owners with trade offers to take your squad to the next level. Sometimes, this process requires an owner to consider giving up proven talent to improve other areas of need or gather assets for the future. Veterans can be difficult to part with, but sometimes the long term gains outweigh the short term losses. With that in mind, let’s analyze candidates who fit in the category of “dynasty WRs and QBs to sell”.Jarvis Landry:Landry finally got paid like a number one receiver, but he sure didn’t perform like one in 2018. He dropped six balls in 14 games started after not registering a single drop before in his career. He was also uncharacteristically inefficient posting 6.6 yards per target, settling at the bottom of league rankings. It’s difficult to be hopeful that his situation will get any better when he had little to no competition for targets, but with Odell Beckham entering the fold, he could be in line for increased efficiency even though he should see a drop in targets.
Rookie Fever welcomes Dan @seahawksdan8 and Darrell @DFF_DWIN from The …
Rookie Fever Episode 44 – IDP Rookies with The IDP Edge Crushers Read More »
With the NFL offseason upon us, it’s the perfect time …
In the NFL, some offenses are considered to be bad. Some teams employ a subpar quarterback, lack dynamic skill position players or even have both of those issues. No matter the situation, there is still value to be found on these bad offenses. I will provide three examples of these kinds of players.Josh Allen (QB – BUF):Not many expect the Buffalo Bills to be a good real-life offense. I expect them to be one of the worst performing offenses in the league. On top of that, the Bills have four wide receivers expected to get targets: Zay Jones, Robert Foster, Cole Beasley, and John Brown. I doubt any of those receivers will be a usable fantasy option. Also, the Bills boast a crowded and underwhelming running back room consisting of LeSean McCoy, Devin Singletary, T.J. Yeldon, and Frank Gore. All of those players could receive touches, and likely none will be valuable in fantasy.However, Josh Allen could finish as a top-10 quarterback in 2019.
Halfway there and we’re still digging deep into the mines for our rookie sleepers for your upcoming draft. The AFC is complete, and now we set our eyes on the NFC, starting with the NFC North.
There are a lot of gems in the North, many names you might be familiar with from there times spent at major college programs.
Enough with the intro though. There are a lot of things to cover and so little time to do so. Let’s jump into it, shall we?
Riley Ridley, Chicago Bears, WR
The Bears might’ve done some highway robbery with their selection of Riley Ridley. A top 50 prospect on some analyst boards Ridley fell to the Bears at pick 126. There’s a lot to like about Ridley and the situation he’s entering with Chicago. As with most late round receiver prospects, there are some hurdles he will need to overcome to get some playing time and build a consistent role in the offense. The core of the Bears WR group is young and on relatively cheap deals. This could be considered both good and bad for Ridley. Bad because there is a lot of depth in the receiving group. Good because except for Allen Robinson, no one else in that group has proven anything that would warrant a longer leash with the team.
The cream rises to the top, and I forsee Ridley building a role in the offense in the near future. Ridley never had a standout season throughout his college career.
From everything I gather on Twitter, dynasty podcasts or articles around the dynasty community, Mitchell Trubisky is an afterthought. When he is the subject of analysis, he’s often compared to Blake Bortles. His career arc is defined as another early first-round quarterback with high bust potential, that the hapless franchise (the Chicago Bears, in this case) shot themselves in the foot by reaching on. The enthusiasm for owning “The Biscuit” has waned to the point that he’s more often a fantasy punchline than a guy your league mates ooh and ahh over when they see his name come across your draft board.This lack of enthusiasm and the reasonably easy case I’m about to lay out are the reasons you should be buying him as a value quarterback in all dynasty formats. This is especially true in superflex and two quarterback leagues.This case shouldn’t need to be made for a 24-year-old quarterback coming off his first full season starting in which he earned himself a Pro Bowl bid, posted a 95 QB rating and finished among the league leaders in rushing from the position in only 14 games. But here we are nonetheless. Let’s dive in.
It’s May, the season of mock drafting. After completing another mock draft, we scoured over the results and gave our insights based on a variety of topics. Check out the draft order below and read each team member’s recap, then make sure to give everyone a follow on Twitter, along with the Redraft Football Factory, where we’ll be mock drafting up until the start of the regular season.
Draft Strategy: Continuing the theme from the last mock draft I wanted to slam the running back position. Besides the mock drafts I’ve done for this article series, I’ve also done a number of mock drafts for our upcoming DFF Factory Draft Guide. Elite running backs have gone early and often in a majority of these mock drafts, leaving stud wide receivers available later in drafts.
Reports this offseason have been that the plan in Green Bay is to go with a running back by committee approach for next season. As someone who has shares of Aaron Jones in every dynasty league, this news doesn’t exactly make me feel all warm and fuzzy inside. New head coach Matt LaFleur said he believes a committee is the most effective approach, while GM Brian Gutekunst says he wants Jones on the field as much as possible. Helpful, I know. Jones is the more explosive and talented running back, so rest assured this will be his backfield.After starting the season off suspended for two games, Aaron Jones slowly took back his role as the starter. Week eight saw Jones take the reins and dominate the role in the backfield, taking 12 carries to Jamaal Williams four. He added two receptions while Williams had zero. Ty Montgomery had two carries and saw only two targets. He would fumble on a late kick return and would then be traded to the Baltimore Ravens less than a week later. With Montgomery gone Jones was able to start taking over the backfield, and it looked like he was heading toward his first 1,000 yard season until he went down with an MCL injury for the second year in a row.
The AFC West has given me the smallest pool of talent to select from for my fourth round or later criteria, but it’s okay! As Dark Helmet combed the desert looking for Princess Vespa, we will comb through our prospects until we find just the right one for you. I would have to call these divisions choices the lottery team, we’re selecting high-ceiling, low-floor players.
Needless to say, these players should be selected if you have an every week starter in situ, enough backups on your roster already, and have the roster size to draft this player and have him sit for a year.
Free agency and the draft are finished and though we are still three-plus months from the beginning of the season teams are starting to resemble what they are going to be heading into the season. I’m going to go division by division breaking down the IDP relevant starters and some sleepers to keep on your watch list for training camp or dynasty stashes.
Larry Johnson (Penn State 271 att. 2,087 yards 7.7 YPA) The year was 2002 and Johnson had never seen more than 75 carries or 358 yards in a college season. He had been locked in a timeshare with somebody named Eric McCoo. When the trust was finally put in Johnson as a senior he rumbled …
RB THEOREM: College 2kers vs Rookie Output and Career Gains Part II Read More »
Change of Scenery Los Angeles to Tampa Bay Our change of scenery series continues! As teams are beginning to see what they have and need, they are making taking the steps to sure up there rosters. With the draft concluded, teams now turn back to free agency in their last push to improve. Oddly enough …
Suh Moves from Hollywood to the Bay Read More »