Joe Burrow

Redraft TE Premium .25 PPC Third-Round Reversal Draft Review

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Recently, the @DFF_Dynasty crew joined up for a redraft mock draft. The format was: start 1 QB, 2 RB, 2 WR, 1 TE, 3 Flex, 6 bench spots, and PPR scoring. We also added a few twists, with 1.5 PPR tight end premium scoring, 0.25 points per carry, and third-round reversal drafting. As usual, I didn’t come into the draft with a set strategy. I planned to take value at my picks, and I wanted to have an open mind. However, I knew that the TE premium scoring would vault tight ends up on my board and that 0.25 PPC is a massive boost to volume running backs. Therefore, I decided to focus on securing running back and tight end early, especially since we only required two WR starters in this league.

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Risers and Fallers

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As we approach the redraft season, I want to begin a new series of recent risers and fallers based on events happening in the fantasy football world. In each article, I’ll give you two risers and two fallers. There are many reasons that a player could move up or move down, so I’ll cover various situations throughout this article series.

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#TomBomb: Cincinnati Bengals

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You know, it never fails to leave Old Tom speechless every time I venture back to different draft classes and re-examine the selections. In 2017, for example, amongst WRs so many were so sure that the Titans, Chargers, and Bengals struck gold with their top-10 WR. Now, to each individual’s credit, while they may not have matched or exceeded expectations. But, they are still participating… and at relatively high levels from time to time. However, when you come off the board at 5, 7, & 9 respectively, the football community simply expects so much more. With that said, let’s talk about that #9 selection out of the University of Washington. Mr. John Ellis Ross III. You know, that 5’11 194lb burner that set the unofficial record with his 4.22-second forty-yard dash. Ya, that guy.

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The DFF Devy Manual: Part 1

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Devy leagues by nature are dynasty leagues. A dynasty league is defined as rosters being constant year over year, with an annual draft for incoming rookies. While a devy league will have annual drafts, once you have a devy player, they are automatically transferred to your roster. This excludes them from the annual draft.

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Why Veterans Key Champs

Why Veterans Are the Key to Fantasy Championships: A 2020 Edition

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In dynasty leagues, there’s always a delicate balance that owners must forge between dynasty value and winning championships. In the end, the goal is to win the most championships possible, as quickly as possible. However, sometimes, dynasty owners need to rebuild and trade away their veterans to return to contending status.

There’s nothing wrong with that approach, as I detailed in an article guiding dynasty owners in determining whether they’re contenders or not. Taking a mild step backward to take a big step forward is a healthy decision and often tough to make. With that said, I want to move away from individual dynasty teams and look more closely at how two specific groups of players have performed over time. It’s time for an in-depth breakdown of what rookies and older veterans do for your roster.

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The Rookie QB Mousetrap

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Breaking down these results broadly, we find that 4% of our sample QBs supported a WR1,17% supported a WR2, and 47% supported a WR3. In other words, since 2012, there’s been a 53% chance that a rookie QB fails to produce even a single wide receiver in the top 36. Considering there are only 32 teams in the NFL, that’s a pretty shocking revelation.

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Lynn Bowden trade

DFF Rookie Round Table, Part 10: Final Thoughts

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We debated the rankings on Jalen Reagor, Henry Ruggs, Tee Higgins, Joe Burrow, Tua Tagovailoa, AJ Dillon, Bryan Edwards, Antonio Gandy-Golden, Zack Moss, and Joshua Kelley. We also touched upon players in their range, and who should be ascending or descending. I want to give a big thanks to everyone who contributed to this series of articles. I urge you to go follow them on twitter.  Read the whole series for a number of opinions on players who could win you fantasy championships for years to come. This is the final part of the series, where we’ll look at more insights and tidbits about these rookies.

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rookie

DFF Rookie Round Table, Part 4: Joe Burrow and Tua Tagovailoa

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After recently releasing my rookie rankings, I wanted to open up the floor to constructive criticism.  I also wanted to see where I was not aligned with other DFF analysts. So, we conducted a round table discussion. This discussion is now a 10-part series of informal articles. In these articles, analysts debate why some of their favorite rookie(s) should be moved up. And in one case, moved down!  

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Rookie Redraft Update: Part 1

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Back in March, I did a four-part series on the incoming rookie class. Now, it’s time to go back through my takes and examine how they’ve changed in the past few months. I’ve included all four of my original articles and all my live post-draft takes as links at the bottom of this article. I’ll start with part one, which covered quarterbacks.

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Redraft Team Focus: Bengals

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Green comes with numerous question marks. However, let’s not forget how successful Green has been as a fantasy asset when healthy and on the field despite playing with mediocre quarterback Andy Dalton. In 2018, Green was the WR8 in Weeks 1-8, averaging 18.5 PPG. He caught 45 of 76 targets for 687 yards and six touchdowns, which would have paced for 90 receptions, 152 targets, 1,374 yards, and 12 touchdowns over a full season. 

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Rookie QB Debuts

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We saw four quarterbacks get drafted in the 1st round of the 2020 NFL draft. While all have aspirations to be the face of their respective franchises, all have very different avenues to get there. In this article, I lay out each of these QB’s paths to their starting role, and when I expect them to make their debuts. Joe Burrow, Cincinnati Bengals While I am aware of how enamored everyone was with Ryan Finley’s three starts in Weeks 9-11 last year, there is no doubt Burrow will be the starting QB for the Bengals come Week 1. He is coming off a historic senior season at LSU. Joe threw for 5,671 yards and he broke the NCAA record for TD passes (60) as well as QB rating (202). Mike Brown and Zac Taylor didn’t draft Burrow to sit and learn, they drafted him to be the next guy right away. Joe won the starting job when Goodell announced his name at the draft. With solid weapons in Joe Mixon, A.J. Green, Tyler Boyd, and fellow rookie Tee Higgins, Joe should be a solid fantasy QB right from the get-go. The Bengals O-line is a concern, ranking 26th and 30th via FBoutsiders and PFF respectively. However, the return of 2019 1st round pick Jonah Williams will be a welcome sight. Burrow is going 1.01 in Superflex drafts for a reason. He is a top talent who will be a starter Week 1. Tua Tagovailoa, Miami Dolphins Tua to the Dolphins has been all the talk since before the 2019 NFL

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DFF Factory Workers’ Dynasty League Rookie Draft

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I wasn’t joking when I said I leaned heavily on rookie picks in the DFF Factory Workers’ Dynasty League. I also chose to lean heavily on wide receivers in the rookie draft as I mostly faded them in the start-up. My starting receivers are Allan Robinson, Brandin Cooks, and Marquise Brown. Not a sexy group by any means but Robinson is the real deal and I’ll stand by that. Cooks and Brown are boom/bust type players but Cooks is still just 26 years old in a really good situation as the lead wide receiver for Deshaun Watson in Houston. 

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2020 NFL Draft Winners/Losers

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The NFL Draft is all about improving a team and injecting youth into a roster. The 2020 NFL Draft specifically has been highly touted as one of the best classes in years and comes at a time when people need something to take their minds off of our real-world problems. Much like years past, things haven’t gone as expected and front offices have made some head-scratching selections.

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NFL Draft First Round: Redraft Reaction

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In this article, I’ll give rapid-fire takes on how all the skill players selected in the first round of the 2020 NFL Draft will impact redraft leagues. I’ll try to provide an estimate for where I’ll rank them as well. At the bottom, I’ve included links to my four-part early rookie redraft preview, to give a comparison of what I thought back then to how I feel now once we have landing spots.

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Taxi Squad Spring Cleaning Part 4: QB Edition

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In this series of articles, I’m looking at rookies from the 2019 class that can be removed from your taxi squads to make room for 2020 rookies. These are players that all have little to no dynasty value, but dynasty owners selected in at least some 2019 rookie drafts. This is the quarterback edition.

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NFL Mock Draft: Part 1

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Today we’re going to have a little fun and do a mock draft for the NFL but with fantasy implications. Trading draft picks is one of the hardest things to predict, so for this initial draft, we’re going to exclude trades for now. Today we’ll look at picks 1-10, who we think each team will take, and the fantasy impact from these signings. 

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NFL Draft 2020 Position Props: Part 1

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Amidst a total sports shutdown, bettors everywhere are embracing whatever they can get their hands on to keep them entertained during these times. Fortunately, the NFL’s offseason has whetted many sports fans’ appetites. Meanwhile, the NFL Draft is still slated to proceed as planned on April 23; not only is it a blast to see the culmination of these young men’s journeys, but it’s an exciting opportunity to place some fun prop bets as well.

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Early 2020 Rookie Redraft Primer: Part 1

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Coming into 2020, Burrow will have a plethora of weapons. The Bengals locked up Tyler Boyd to a long-term deal and will use the franchise tag to retain A.J. Green. They also have speedster John Ross and promising third-year receiver Auden Tate on their roster. Running back Joe Mixon will also take some of the initial pressure off Burrow, providing a solid anchor for the Bengals’ rushing attack. 

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