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2019 Deep Sleepers for Redraft

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It’s late in your draft, and you’re scrolling and scrolling. You’re looking for a late-round sleeper to catch your eye. You ask yourself, “Who could have a big season?”. Should you take the handcuff to your early-round RB? Or maybe someone with more upside. You narrow it down to a few players and start to think it through. Do you want the veteran who many are doubting due to his age? Or do you want the young athletic freak that could finally put it all together this year? They could both end up hitting, or they could both end up being nothing. Well if they meet the two criteria I’m about to reveal they could both be great additions to your team. There are two main things I look for in my late-round picks, and that is: OPPORTUNITY and EFFICIENCYOpportunity is often what determines a player’s level of fantasy production. You can’t be an RB1 without plenty of opportunities, in the form of carries and targets. Ezekiel Elliott led the NFL in carries last year, so it is no surprise he also led the league in rushing yards. Julio Jones led the NFL in targets last year, and he too led the NFL in receiving yards. As you have heard, many analysts say, “Opportunity is King.”Efficiency is needed when a player doesn’t necessarily get an abundance of opportunity. What a player lacks in opportunity, they must make up for that with efficiency. For example, let’s compare Antonio Brown’s and Michael Thomas’s 2018 seasons. Brown had 168 targets, for 104 catches and 1,297 yards. Thomas had 147 targets, for 125 catches and 1,405 yards. Thomas was able to outproduce Brown in catches and yards even though he had 21 fewer targets. He was able to do this because he had a much higher catch rate, 85% vs. 61.9%. Posting high yards per reception, yards per carry, and performing well in other more advanced efficiency statistics can also allow a player to outperform their perceived opportunity. Below are a few players that meet the above criteria this year.

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Deep IDP Fantasy Buys

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am going to give you some deep, buy low IDP options for the upcoming fantasy season. These are players that are not on the radar of most IDP fantasy owners in deep dynasty leagues but should be. The players on this list, are young guys on the rise, they may get their chance to make an impact for their teams or they may be rookies with no real competition ahead of them on the depth chart. Let’s take a look at these players and what they could help for your fantasy team.

CB, Isaac Yiadom, Denver Broncos The second-year corner out of Boston College, was a low-risk rookie buy last season but wasn’t owned in many leagues (less than 5%). As a rookie he played in thirteen games, starting one, he played a total of 439 total snaps. He played 263 defensive snaps, which was 24.3% of the Broncos defensive total. He also played 176 special teams snaps, that accounted for 49.1%. As you can see, he was a core special teams piece in his first year….

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Divisional Round-Up: AFC EAST

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In the lead up to the 2019 season, Redraft Football Factory will be dissecting each division in the NFL to outline two ‘unbustable’ players, two busts, two breakout players, two bounce-back candidates, and two sleepers. Today, we will examine the AFC East teams: the New England Patriots, Miami Dolphins, New York Jets, and Buffalo Bills. Where is the best place to mine fantasy gold? Who can you rely on and who should you avoid? Read on, fellow members, and find out! 

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Divisional Round Up – NFC West

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In the lead up to the 2019 season, Redraft Football Factory will be dissecting each division in the NFL to outline: Two ‘unbustable’ players – guys who have the highest floors and even higher ceilings, locked and loaded, bonafide top 10 prospects at their position; Two busts – primed to vastly under-produce their ADPs, destined

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Divisional Round-Up: AFC SOUTH

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In the lead up to the 2019 season, Redraft Football Factory will be dissecting each division in the NFL to outline two ‘unbustable’ players, two busts, two breakout players, two bounce-back candidates, and two sleepers. Today, we will examine the AFC South teams: the Colts, Texans, Jaguars, and Titans. Where is the best place to mine fantasy gold? Who can you rely on and who should you avoid? Read on, fellow members, and find out! 

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2019 IDP Bounce-Back Candidates

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In this article, we are going to take a look at a few bounce-back candidates for this season. For whatever the reason these players underperformed a year ago, but I am expecting them to bounce back this season and hopefully help lead fantasy owners to a championship. Let’s see who I believe will return to form in 2019.
DE, Leonard Williams, New York JetsWilliams’ best season came back in 2016 when he posted 68 tackles, seven sacks, and 19 quarterback hits. In the two years since, the Jets defense lost some keys pieces such as Muhammad Wilkerson and Sheldon Richardson, leaving Williams to carry the workload. With not much help, his numbers took a hit. While he still had the opportunity to make plays, with 45 combined quarterback hits the last two seasons, he just didn’t have enough around him to take advantage of these opportunities. Now we look to 2019, and the defense has added some much-needed talent and defenses won’t be able to focus on taking Williams out of the game. They signed big-time free agent CJ Mosley to play next to Avery Williamson and drafted rookie phenom Quinnen Williams, who will play nose tackle and keep teams from game planning around Leonard. Let’s not forget that they have superstar safety Jamal Adams at safety. Now that they have some talent to surround Williams with, I expect him to bounce back to the 2016 version. Teams won’t find it as easy to scheme for just him anymore. I believe 68 and seven-plus sacks is a very reasonable expectation for him this season. He can be had at a low buy value right now in most leagues, so now is the time to acquire him.

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An Introduction to Best-Ball Basics

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For years the downside to being a draft-aholic was realizing a few weeks into the season that the time and energy associated with setting a few dozen fantasy football lineups every week takes a lot of the fun out of the game. But between the ever-popular BB10s at NFFC, DRAFT once again offering a multi-million dollar best-ball tournament, and countless other best-ball options available out there, the popularity of this particular format continues to increase steadily. With the opening of NFL training camps this past week, fantasy football season is about to get into full swing. It’s likely those of us who play in dynasty leagues probably knocked out our rookie drafts months ago. But most redraft and keeper formats often don’t tee up their draft day until mid-August at the earliest. This means that despite the non-stop stream of NFL news and fantasy implications we diehards are eating up on an hourly basis, we’re actually in a bit of an activity lull right now. This period is the perfect time of year to start pulling the trigger on best-ball drafts, particularly if, like me, you love to draft fantasy football teams. 

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AFC West IDP Preview

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Free agency and the draft are finished and though we are still three plus months from the beginning of the season teams are starting to resemble what they are going to be heading into the season. I’m going to go division by division breaking down the IDP relevant starters and some sleepers to keep on your watch list for training camp or dynasty stashes. Denver Broncos Defensive Coordinator: Ed Donatell 3-4 DefenseCoach Donatell has been coaching in college or the professional ranks since 1979. He has eight years of DC experience. He and HC Vic Fangio have been coaching together since 2011. Donatell has the DC title but Fangio will be heavily involved in the plan of attack.Their Chicago Bears sported the number three defense in yards per game. Their 3-4 typically produces very good ILB and safety tackle numbers.IDP Relevant Defensive Tackles: Shelby Harris, Dre’Mont Jones, Zach KerrHarris will not kill you at his current NT position. Unfortunately, he lacks the girth of a true run plugger. Jones also doesn’t fit the traditional mold. He is good with hands and he can create a decent initial burst. Yet, double teams could swallow both guys up and out of tackle contention. Do not be surprised if either end up moving to DE during the next offseason. Kerr seems to be the forgotten commodity that could fill the 3-4 NT role. At 330 pounds (sorry to sound stereotypical) it is still baffling to me that Kerr is listed as a DE on most sites. He should get snaps all over. IDP Relevant Defensive Ends: Derek Wolfe, Adam Gotsis, Wolfe has never had more than six sacks in a season. He does have okay tackle totals over the last five seasons. He has definitely slowed down over the last two years and you can expect a snap regression. Gotsis was a reserve during his rookie year. Since then he has strung together two decent seasons. Some may even whisper about him being a breakout candidate. It is time to remind the masses that you must be JJ Watt strong to be an IDP weapon as a 3-4 DE.

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Tight End Targets

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In this two-part article, we’re going to take a look first at three tight ends that I will be targeting at their current ADP and then in part two, examining three tight ends I’m fading at their ADP. As a quick note, Travis Kelce, Zach Ertz, and George Kittle will not be featured in either article. Those are the consensus top three tight ends for most experts and I want to discuss players that have received a bit less attention. Also, only three teams can grab one of those top-tier tight ends, so everyone else will need to decide on one of these later players. With all that said, let’s jump right into it.ADP is taken from Fantasy Football Calculator’s Half-PPR ADP.
Evan Engram (NYG)Evan Engram is a mid-round target at the tight end position for 2019 fantasy drafts. He is currently being drafted as the 61st player off the board as the TE5. While I also have Engram ranked as my TE5, I believe there is still value at his overall draft cost. In points per game, Engram finished as the TE4 in 2017 and then the TE7 in 2018, so a TE5 price seems appropriate. However, he is guaranteed to play a whole season in 2019 without the presence of target hog Odell Beckham Jr. In 2017, Engram received 115 targets when Beckham missed a majority of the season and was the unquestioned number one receiving option during that period. Then in 2018, Engram was having a quiet season until Beckham was out injured for the final four games. In those four contests, Engram topped 75 receiving yards in each game and totaled 22 receptions on 31 targets.

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Divisional Round-Up: AFC West

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In the lead up to the 2019 season, Redraft Football Factory will be dissecting each division in the NFL to outline two ‘unbustable’ players, two busts, two breakout players, two bounce-back candidates, and two sleepers. Today, we will examine the AFC West teams: the Chiefs, Chargers, Raiders, and Broncos. Where is the best place to mine fantasy gold? Who can you rely on and who should you avoid? Read on, fellow members, and find out! 

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