Against The Spread: Week 5

The Buffalo Bills have the best scoring differential in the NFL through Week 4, with a positive 90 points difference. Do not read too much into this because their last three opposing quarterbacks have been Davis Mills, Jacoby Brissett, and Taylor Heinicke. The Cardinals have the second-highest scoring differential in the NFL, with a positive 55 difference. At the other end of the spectrum, we have the Falcons, Texans, Dolphins, Jets, and Lions who all have poor scoring differentials. The scoring differential has a very strong correlation of an R-squared value of 0.79 compared to games won.

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