KC Concepcion

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“Colossus” 2026 Final Rookie WR1 Analytical Model Rankings

The Prospect Analytical Model Rankings are one of our members’ favorite series each year at Dynasty Football Factory. Years of refining and enhancing the models to accurately predict future fantasy value have brought us to today. 

This article covers the final post-NFL Draft analytical model rankings for the wide receiver position. These WR1 model rankings will be your ultimate guide to predicting which prospects will produce the most fantasy points in their NFL career.

You can find the running back RB1 model here.

For those new to the WR1 rating, it is a proprietary formula I developed in 2019 that provides a data-driven forecast of future fantasy production for incoming rookie wide receivers. There are many advanced metrics available today; we at DFF know it can be difficult to determine which ones matter and how much each matters. The WR1 model distills all that hard work into a single, easy-to-understand number. The model evaluates rookies across 13 of the most predictive metrics and combines their individual metric scores into a total WR1 rating. It was a pioneer in the fantasy analysis industry, being the first to incorporate a film-grade into the model. The goal is to provide an easy-to-use score for those who don’t want to spend hundreds of hours dissecting different metrics. Based on the prospect’s model score, I provide their probability of achieving at least one top-24 NFL Fantasy Points Per Game Season, using historical prospects with similar score ranges.

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kc

2026 NFL Draft Coverage: KC Concepcion

KC Concepcion began his career playing for the North Carolina State Wolfpack, where he quickly showed off his talent with 71 catches for 839 yards and 10 touchdowns while also running the ball 41 times for 320 yards. It was one of the more impressive freshman seasons that we have seen in recent memory, though much of his production was manufactured closer to the line of scrimmage. He saw considerable regression in 2024 during his sophomore season, catching only 53 balls for 460 yards and 6 touchdowns in nearly an equivalent amount of games. There are some questions as to whether the offense and quarterback were simply too poor to get him the ball that season, or if he was experiencing a sophomore slump after teams had some film on him.

Concepcion bet on himself, however, and transferred to Texas A&M for his third and final season of college football. He put together arguably his best season with the Aggies and showed improvements in his skill set that were encouraging, leading up to his jump to the NFL. He caught 61 balls for 919 yards and 9 touchdowns, which led the SEC. His 15.1 Y/R was also the best of his college career. 

FILM

The first thing that jumps off the screen when you turn on the tape for KC Concepcion is his natural explosive ability and knack for creating separation in the short and intermediate parts of the field. He is a friendly target for his quarterback due to the ease with which he gains separation at the break point of his routes. Between his time with NC State and Texas A&M, he showed versatility in lining up both outside and in the slot, along with out of the backfield. He is a player who you just put the ball in his hands and watch him go to work, and a creative offensive playcaller will have a field day. 

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Byrum Brown

Week 13 Finals: Start Article

Alright, here we are. The Finals. If you are reading this, you survived the chaos, you trusted the process, and you earned your spot. Congratulations on getting to the finals. Who else is in the finals with me? Let’s finish this thing the right way. These are the stats from last week’s semifinal matchups, and now we are rolling them forward into the best possible starts for Championship Week. These are my top picks at each position going into the Finals, the guys who showed out when it mattered and are set up to do it again. Win Now, Brag Later. Kick back, grab that last drink, light your last cigar, and let’s get into it.

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