Colston Loveland

Luther Burden III

Luther Burden III: Has the Hype Become Too Much of a Burden?

Luther Burden III has one of the most inspiring backstories in the NFL. Rising from a tough childhood in East St. Louis to becoming a standout wide receiver for the Chicago Bears, his relentless work ethic and local pride are undeniable. However, heading into his second year, his skyrocketing fantasy football ADP has reached a point of “all gas, no brakes.” In high-stakes dynasty startups, investing heavily in the sophomore receiver is a risky proposition, and he is currently being drafted at overvalued levels.

The Hype vs. Reality

It is hard not to be a fan of Luther Burden III. After an electrifying rookie campaign in 2025, his value has soared.

I was thinking about writing an article comparing Justin Jefferson’s first-year rookie season to Burden’s. The rise, the hype, and the comparisons entering their second seasons. Given the hype in ADP over the past couple of months, the analytics show no comparison. While Burden is incredibly electric after the catch, his usage in Ben Johnson’s offense has been heavily concentrated around the line of scrimmage. His average target distance ranked near the bottom among starting wide receivers, making his weekly upside highly dependent on yards after the catch rather than high-value, downfield passing volume.

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kraft

When to Target Tight Ends in Redraft Leagues

Continuing my Redraft series, I’m now going to look at the average draft position (ADP) for tight ends in 2025. My goal is to identify the ideal ADP windows for targeting the TE position versus other positions.

I looked at the top 96 players in 2025, and 10 tight ends were taken in that range. I looked to see how the player did based on their draft position. I am using Sleepers’ ADP for this exercise.

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loveland

Building My Dynasty: A Full Startup Draft Breakdown

In today’s article, I’m breaking down my most recent dynasty startup draft, covering everything from my draft strategy to player values and roster construction. The goal is to leave you with a few ideas you can take into your own startup drafts this offseason. In this particular draft, I was able to construct a team I believe can compete in Year 1 while being built for long-term dominance. With the help of the DFF Dynasty Control Room, I was able to maximize value by reviewing consensus big boards and checking “top players available” with every pick. According to DFF consensus, it paid off, as I finished with the best draft class in the league.

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fannin

Reviewing My Top Dynasty Exposures

If you’re a portfolio dynasty player (I’d put the threshold at around eight or more leagues), it’s worth periodically checking your overall dynasty exposures to make sure your ownership percentages actually reflect your player takes. Tracking player exposure helps you identify where you’re underweight and looking to add, and who you might want to sell to avoid being over-leveraged. I use Dynasty Data Lab for this, and the dynasty offseason is the perfect window to review your exposures.  In today’s article, I’ll break down my top 10 most-owned players and share my thoughts on each from a dynasty perspective. To keep this article focused solely on impact players, I’ll just be looking at the first 12 rounds of startup ADP. 1. Harold Fannin (TE – CLE) – 41.2% ownership Fannin was a major third-round target for me in last year’s dynasty rookie drafts, coming off the most productive tight end season in college football history. He was overlooked due to his athletic limitations and the poor competition he faced at Bowling Green (both legitimate concerns), but the discount was simply too large, considering his production profile. I’m thrilled to have so many shares of what I believe is a clear Top 5 dynasty TE, and I acquired most of these shares for a fraction of his current price.  2. Colston Loveland (TE – CHI) – 35.3% ownership Another 2025 rookie prospect who was a major target of mine in the latter part of the first round. I loved everything about Loveland’s college profile; he was elite from a per-route perspective,

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goff

The State of QBs & TEs in Early 2026 Startups

Can you smell that? Yep, it’s startup season. Most of the big names on the market have found new homes via free agency, so some player values have shifted since the end of the 2025 season. And they’ll shift again soon, with the NFL Draft less than a month away.  After jumping into some 2026 startups recently, I wanted to share my thoughts on the quarterback and tight end markets. Here’s what I’m seeing at those two spots with some suggestions on how to attack them in drafts.  Quarterbacks The number of quarterbacks being selected in round one of Superflex drafts is as low as I’ve seen in years. Gone are the days of six or seven signal-callers flying off the board early. Managers want the elite running backs and wide receivers at the top and are willing to bypass QBs to get them. Right now, it’s Josh Allen and Drake Maye as the only constants, and even those guys are slipping in some instances. I just got Allen at pick 1.04 in a startup, then followed it up with Lamar Jackson at 2.09! Imagine getting that duo just one or two years ago — you would’ve had to trade away most of your middle-round selections to make that happen. After Allen and Maye, you’ll usually see Jayden Daniels, Joe Burrow, or Caleb Williams go later in the round, but I’ve also seen them fall to the second. Hard to hate the value there. If you’ve ever wanted Patrick Mahomes, I’ve got good news for you: he’s never been cheaper.

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D.J. Moore

Dynasty Fantasy Football Rapid Reaction: D.J. Moore to the Buffalo Bills

Goodness, gracious. This trade is gold for both parties. D.J. Moore made it possible for Buffalo and Chicago to become better. It cost the Buffalo Bills a 2026 second-round pick. In exchange, the Bears sent D.J. Moore and their 2026 fifth-round pick. For Chicago, this opens up so much in a crowded offensive room. Caleb has the weapons to throw to, even with Moore being shipped out. This opens up opportunities for two promising second-year players to shine: Luther Buden III (WR) and Colston Loveland (TE). Hello, young men! These youngsters will have a chance to be special, special. I guarantee they are both already soaring in Dynasty as hot commodities and will be hot as a spoon is a trap house at the beginning of the month. They have shown they are capable of producing in their 2025 rookie campaigns.

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loveland

Dynasty Football Factory’s 2025 NFL Draft Coverage: Colston Loveland

With the 10th pick in the #NFLDraft, the Chicago Bears select Colston Loveland, TE, Michigan. Loveland is ranked 7th overall in the Dynasty Football Factory SF Rookie Draft Rankings. #DFFArmy #AlwaysBeBuilding #AlwaysBeScouting #DynastyFootball #NFL #NFLTrades #NFLTransactions

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