DFS Jones | RBC Canadian Open Picks

After an exciting The Open Championship over in Scotland, the Tour makes its way to Canada for the RBC Canadian Open. The course this week is Glen Abbey GC which is a Par 72 that plays just over 7,250 yards. In 2017, the course was the 42nd most difficult course (-1.26 RTP) out of the 50 course played. Just a year before, though, it was the 14th most difficult (+0.535). The only common thread for 2016 and 2017 is that Jhonattan Vegas took both tournaments down.

In a week after a major championship in Scotland, you’d think that a field in Canada would be a little suspect. Luckily, the RBC sponsorship of this week’s tournament means that there are a few highly ranked golfers with sponsorship obligations. Three golfers in the Top 10 OWGR are making the flight over. Dustin Johnson ($11,700) headlines that list and is joined by Brooks Koepka ($10,800) and Tommy Fleetwood ($10,500). There are four other golfers in the Top 30 OWGR, so we’re not looking at the strongest field, but it also isn’t the John Deere Classic field.
If you’re looking for a deeper dive into the course and some stats you should be targeting, click here for yesterday’s article.

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Expensive Golfers ($9,500+)

There is almost no way for me to avoid Tony Finau ($9,800). I’m not sure what the knock on him could possibly be. Over the past two months, he’s 3rd in DK Points and 1st in GIRs Gained, according to Fantasy National. 59.1% of Finau’s starts have resulted in a Top 15 DK Scoring performance on the year as he’s gone 13-of-16 in made cuts. He can take advantage of the Par 5s as well, as he’s 1st in strokes gained on Par 5s. Finau is averaging 82 points on Par 72s this season. I don’t think I need to keep going right? Since the Sony Open in January, I’ve been playing at least 50% of him in just about every start, and he’s only hurt me three times. As a community, we can hold grudges that cost us money in the long run. Dustin Johnson’s ($11,700) missed cut last week shouldn’t be one of the things that cause a grudge. Since the start of the season, DJ has finished in the Top 15 of DK Scoring 78.5% of the time. No one in the field with at least the same number of starts is even over 60% in that stat. Over the last two months, DJ is 5th in SG: Approach and 2nd in DK Points. We’re in the homestretch of the season, and he’ll be looking for a high finish to gain some momentum heading into the playoffs.

Mid-Range Golfers ($9,500 – $7,500)

Joaquin Niemann ($9,400) is starting to become a week in, week out consideration every time he tees it up. With the exception of the tournament in Memphis a few weeks ago, he’s been excellent, finishing in the Top 25 in 5-of-6 events. Niemann has gained strokes on approach in every single event since he’s turned pro. Over the past 24 rounds, he’s Top 5 in DK Points, Good Drives, SG: Approach, Putting from 5 – 10 Feet, and GIRs Gained, according to Fantasy National.
The cut equity that Steve Stricker ($8,800) possesses on a regular basis is pretty impressive for a 51-year-old. If you’re looking for a steady option, Stricker has the highest rate of finishing in the Top 30 of DK scoring in the $8,000 range.
Charley Hoffman ($8,700) is second on that list and presents an interesting option in GPPs this week. The one guy in the $8,000 range I’m avoiding is Wesley Bryan ($8,300) this week. He seems overpriced as his Vegas odds should have put him somewhere in the low- to mid-$7,000 range.
Byeong Hun-An ($7,800) is at the top of the range when it comes to Par 72 scoring. He’s joined by Andrew Putnam ($7,600) and Keith Mitchell ($7,400) as the only golfers in this range averaging above 70 DK Points on Par 72s for the season.

Value Golfers (Sub – $7,500)

If you’re into more recent form, Joel Dahmen ($7,400) has been on fire recently. Starting with the Quicken Loans National, he’s made the Top 25 in four straight events including Top 5s at the Greenbrier and John Deere Classic. In the past two months, he’s 5th in DK Points and 1st in SG: Approach.
There’s not a whole lot to love in the $6,000 range. Tom Lovelady ($ 6,800) is coming off of a runner-up finish at the Barbasol where he gained strokes in every category. In this range, only Jason Korkak ($6,800) and John Huh ($6,900) have finished in the Top 30 of DK Scoring at a higher rate this season. Kokrak, Lovelady, and Sean O’Hair ($6,900) are the top three scorers on Par 72s this season.

mjones

I host a podcast called Bogey Free which can be found on iTunes or YouTube. I'm one of the PGA Analysts at DraftKings. On this site, you can find me talking Football Redraft or PGA DFS. Follow along on Twitter @MattJonesTFR to stay up to date.

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