After another exciting stop at Harbour Town, the Tour turns its attention to TPC San Antonio for the Valero Texas Open this week. TPC San Antonio is a Par 72 course that plays just over 7,400 yards. The greens are going to look enormous compared to what the field saw in Hilton Head with an average green size 6,400 square feet. The golfers will have to contend with two water hazards and 54 bunkers as they make their way around the course.
Past Five Winners
Off the Tee
Since play began at this course for the Valero, there have been 88 different golfers who’ve finished in the Top Ten. In that group, 40% have finished in the Top 20 of Driving Distance while just over 32% have done the same in Driving Accuracy. Historically, distance has been about 2.5 times more important than accuracy. The two short Par 4s and the Par 5s will produce a majority of the DK Scoring, and distance is an asset on those holes which make up a third of the course.
Strokes Gained: Approach is key down in San Antonio, as per usual. SG: Approach by itself predicts nearly 30% of DK Points at this event, historically. Since 2010, 83% of golfers who finished in the Top 25 gained strokes on approach. None of this is shocking, though, as this is the case most weeks on Tour. The field average at this course is 57.1% compared to the average PGA Tour event which sees about 65.4% of greens in regulations hit.
Around the Green
The greens in San Antonio have some falloffs around them and can lead to some tricky up and down attempts. Strokes Gained: Around the Green is about as correlated to DK Scoring as Strokes Gained: Off the Tee here, which is rarely the case. Baking in a little bit of Around the Green stats into your model is important this week.
Other Stats to Consider
SG: Par 4s (0-350 Yards): With some of the more difficult long Par 5s on Tour, being able to take advantage of the short Par 4s will be beneficial this week.