After an exciting The Open Championship over in Scotland, the Tour makes its way to Canada for the RBC Canadian Open aka the Jhonny Vegas Open. The course this week is Glen Abbey GC which is a Par 72 that plays just over 7,250 yards. In 2017, the course was the 42nd most difficult course (-1.26 RTP) out of the 50 course played. Just a year before, though, it was the 14th most difficult (+0.535). The only common thread for 2016 and 2017 is that Jhonny Vegas took both tournaments down.
Past Five Winners
Off the Tee
Your preference in off the tee stats this week will be precisely that- your preference. As far as correlations go, there isn’t a very strong link between distance (4%) or accuracy (3%) to DK Points scored. Of the 171 golfers that finished in the Top 20 of DK Scoring for that tournament, 65 (38%) finished in the Top 20 of Driving Distance while 60 (35%) finished in that group for Driving Accuracy. In that same scoring group, 41.5% of golfers averaged 300+ on measured drives. On the other hand, just 26.9% managed to hit even two-thirds of fairways.
With Top 5 finishers at this event averaging nearly 50 greens hit for the week, accuracy on approach is important. If we take a look at the 36 Top 5 DK Scorers in my database, 30 have gained strokes on approach. 75% of that same group has finished in the Top 25 of Greens in Regulation with an average of 49.6 greens hit for the week. In fact, Greens in Regulation has the highest correlation to DK scoring of any stat this week, explaining over 30% of the variation in DK Points scored.
Around the Green
There’s not much of an edge to scrambling when most of the cutmakers hit over two-thirds of the greens in regulation. Golfers that finish in the Top 5 of DK Scoring average 29.8 in SG: Around the Green.
Other Stats to Consider
Par 4 (400-450 Yards)
Shorter Approaches (125-150 & 150-175)
DraftKings Scoring Breakdown
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