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PGA DFS: John Deere Classic Key Stats and Course Breakdown

The Tour heads to Illinois for the John Deere Classic this week. The course that’s played host to this event since 2000 is TPC Deere Run. It’s a par 71 course that was listed at over 7,100 yards last season. No matter how you look at it, the course is relatively easy. The field played it at better than -1.2 relative to par last year and winning scores have ranged anywhere from -16 to -26 over the past 15 years. As the golfers make their way around the course, they’ll be contending with bentgrass greens, 78 bunkers, and four water hazards.

Past Five Winners

Scoring Records

Off the Tee

There is a pretty significant bump given to driving distance at this course. Golfers who finish in the Top 10 of Driving Distance have gained 10 DK Points compared to those who finish outside of that threshold, making TPC Deere Run the third highest ranked distance course in the database. That doesn’t mean there’s a negative split with golfers who are accurate, though, as there’s an advantage of nearly 3 DK points for the Top 10 in that stat.

On Approach

Ball-striking is important everywhere, but as winning scores go lower at different Tour stops hitting greens becomes even more important. Historically, the average winner at this event has finished around 15th in Greens in Regulation. Golfers who have finished in the Top 5 of DraftKings Points have averaged just under 55 greens (76%) hit for the week. Given the “birdie-fest” nature of this event, the correlation between finish position and DK Points isn’t as close as a typical event. Of the 373 golfers who have finished in the Top 20 of DK Points here, over 25% have finished outside of the Top 20 for PGA purposes.

Around the Green

Just under 75% of Top 20 scorers have finished with positive SG: Around the Green at this event, dating back to 2003. Racking up strokes gained around the green, though, also means that you’re missing the greens. Bogeys are fine at this event, but you should be chasing ball-striking and birdie opportunities over scrambling ability.

DraftKings Scoring Breakdown

mjones

I host a podcast called Bogey Free which can be found on iTunes or YouTube. I'm one of the PGA Analysts at DraftKings. On this site, you can find me talking Football Redraft or PGA DFS. Follow along on Twitter @MattJonesTFR to stay up to date.

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