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Early 2020 Rookie Redraft Primer Part 3

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At Oklahoma, Lamb found wild success. He played three years with a series of star college quarterbacks: Baker Mayfield in 2017, Kyler Murray in 2018, and Jalen Hurts in 2019. In total, Lamb had 173 catches for 3,292 yards and 32 touchdowns. His 2019 performance solidified his status as the WR1 in this class, as he had 62 receptions for 1,327 yards and 14 touchdowns.

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Killing the Combine

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Every year we seem to have a handful of players that amaze us with there athletic awesomeness. Even when we expect great results from certain players, we still get wowed. This year was no exception, as there was once again some standout take notice performances. Here we take a look at a few of the next group of stars to be.

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Aaron Parker: Dominant Small-School Wide Receiver Target

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Aaron Parker checks a lot of boxes. First and foremost, Aaron has impressive age-adjusted college production. He broke out during his true freshman season at age 18 for the Rhody Rams. The Gwynn Park High School product was URI’s primary receiving option. He also had a 34.7% dominator rating (average market share of receiving yards and touchdowns) in his first season. Parker continued to produce at an elite level for Rhode Island. He earned over 35% of their receiving production in each of his final three seasons. He did so with his cousin and fellow NFL Combine invitee, Isaiah Coulter, playing opposite him as well. Parker leaves Rhode Island second all-time in team history with 3,460 career receiving yards and third all-time in touchdowns with 30.

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Rookie WR Hits & Misses Part 1

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Now, we’re on to part four of this seven-part series about the 2019 rookies. Previously, I’ve talked about QBs, RBs part 1, and RBs part 2. Now, it’s time to get into the wide receivers, which I will split into three parts. There are simply so many receivers that either had high rookie draft capital or achieved fantasy relevance in 2019. For part one, I’ll take a look at four receivers that were all first-round picks in a majority of rookie drafts. These are my rankings from late May 2019:

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Schemes Are Ch-Ch-Changing: Part 2

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Anticipating and acting on scheme change is a risk/reward proposition in fantasy football. Correctly anticipating an edge defender’s new role in a defense can deliver a difference-maker at the most valuable IDP position. There, I said it! The value above replacement for a high-end DE is greater than that for linebackers through much of the spectrum of IDP scoring formats. Meanwhile, an edge defender changed to OLB is all but negated as an IDP asset in most formats. Your writer did not lightly recommend DE Myles Garrett as an IDP buy in Part 1 of this series of articles on defensive scheme change. The Browns’ incoming defensive coordinator Joe Woods led a 3-4 defense in Denver in 2018. Part 1 explains why I would not discount Garrett’s fantasy value based on that risk. The risk that Garrett plays OLB in 2020 is not zero, however. Upon arriving in New York last winter, Gregg Williams told reporters he would not change the Jets’ 3-4 base defense to a 4-3. Then he did. Two teams that did NOT undergo changes in defensive coaches DID change from 4-3 to 3-4: the Panthers and Falcons. Yes, both teams changed back late in the 2019 season, but the initial change highlights the incalculable risk to players as IDP assets in fantasy leagues that don’t use true positions (IDL, EDGE, LB). The hedge against this risk is to anticipate scheme changes before they are implemented, observed, and understood. The best way to do this is to keep apprised of coaching changes and those coaches’ histories and

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Prediction: Combine Risers

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Listed at 6’4 220 pounds, Cole McDonald looks like an NFL talent. McDonald has a rocket of an arm and moves very well for his size. As a two year starter at Hawaii, the gunslinger threw for 8,010 yards and 69 touchdowns. Although putting up video game numbers, McDonald is considered a day 3 prospect by most. This is likely due to a funky throwing motion and less than desirable completion percentage of 61.4. However, with a strong performance in Indianapolis, I believe Cole McDonald can make his way into the Day 2 decision. To do this, he will need to run a good 40 time and show off his arm talent. 

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