The PGA Tour makes its way to TPC Southwind for the Berger Open…I mean, the FedEx St. Jude Classic. TPC Southwind is a Par 70 that plays around 7,200 yards. The average green size here is just a bit over 5,000 square feet which means they’re smaller than the average we see on tour. The greens are hard to hit, the fairways are difficult to hit, and the temperature will be in the 90s in Memphis this week. If that wasn’t enough, the golfers also have to contend with 94 bunkers and ten water hazards as they make their way around the track. The greens will be running a little bit faster than the average tour stop, around 12 feet on the stimp.
Past Five Winners
Off the Tee
As far as off the tee game goes here, it’s really up in the air. Cutmakers here that finish in the Top-10 of Strokes Gained: Off the Tee see a 7.9 DK Point advantage compared to those outside the Top-10. That number comes in as 46th out of the 71 courses in my database. Driving Distance is relatively flat across all of the finish position categories. Only 3 of the past 15 winners here have finished in the Top 10 in Driving Distance, with two of them also finishing in 3rd and 11th for Driving Accuracy in that week. Long story short, golfers can attack this course in a few different ways off the tee and still find success, but if they’re going to go long they need to keep it in play.
As far as approach importance goes, TPC Southwind falls in line at about average compared to other courses. That doesn’t mean it isn’t important. Since 2003, just two winners have come from outside of the Top 20 in Greens in Regulations hit, and only one winner came from outside the Top 20 in Strokes Gained: Approach. In fact, of the 16 golfers who have scored over 100 DK Points here in that timeframe, no one has lost strokes on approach for the week.
Around the Green
An elite short game will help you for actual golf scoring, but not for DK Points this week. The T10 Strokes Gained: ARG Rank Advantage is the 13th lowest of 71 courses at just 3.1 DK Points. It may help golfers make the cut this weekend, but around the green game doesn’t do much in the way of upside at TPC Southwind. Of the 57 golfers who have gained over one stroke around the green per round,