The mission of this article is to make our in-house experts sizzle and bristle over the hot-button issues that face dynasty owners. Our experts make the entire route tree HOT as they address topics from the world of IDP, Devy, Start/sit, Non-PPR, PPR and everything in between. Try not to get burned by all the fiery YAC below! This is Dynasty Hot Routes!
Pick one 2017 prospect you expect to have on multiple rosters by the end of May?
Emmett Kiernan- Jordan Leggett. As we all know, this tight end class is stacked. Leggett, who most people have ranked around TE 4-5 will likely fall much further than he would in most drafts and I’ll be there waiting to scoop him up. In an average year, this guy is probably the first or second tight end off the board. I foresee him being an absolute steal in the third or fourth round of rookie drafts.
John Orr- Zach Cunningham. No secret if you follow me. I have already drafted him on three of my teams. Sideline to sideline player who can do it all. Another player I will be looking at, Chris Godwin. Let face it, if you’re not picking early, you’re going to be looking for someone, and he is my guy.
Josh Johnson – Jamal Adams me ASAP! Ok so here’s the thing I don’t even really need a safety on any of my squads but Adams is going to be very, very special. Also, it’s not a fantasy factor, but he is an upstanding leader and role model. Whoever drafts him is getting a precious commodity that will ring positivity throughout their whole organization. That’s the kind of player I want! I would trade any DB not named Landon Collins for him, and yes I am dead serious!
Shaun Laibe – Curtis Samuel. I’m a huge fan of the former Buckeye this year. I’m getting a lot of his shares in the early 2nd round of rookie drafts so far. His hybrid running back and wide receiver play style reminds me of Percy Harvin. He also has the 4.3 speed to boot.
Shane Manila – Bucky Hodges. I have an obsession with large, fast, athletic marvels. Hodges is 6’6” somewhere in the neighborhood of 250 pounds, is so skilled as a receiver that there were legitimate questions as to whether he would receive the receiver designation coming into the NFL combine. Being designated as a TE is going to give you a Rob Gronkowski level scoring advantage over other TEs every week by Hodges 3rd pro season.
Brian Hawkes – Jake Butt. With a TE class as deep as this one, Butt is sure to be a forgotten man due to his late season injury. Had he not been injured, it’s entirely possible he’d be a quality 2nd round rookie pick. As it stands, he’s likely a 4th round rookie pick due to the fact he’s not likely to contribute in 2017… Breaking News: Rookie tight ends rarely contribute… so you do the math.
Who is someone you will likely cut this summer, but you really don’t want to?
Emmett Kiernan- Jerell Adams. I almost hope the Giants use a high pick on a tight end, so it makes the decision a little easier. I love Adams’ raw potential but only have so many roster spots. Even if I have to let him go he is someone I will be keeping an eye on.
John Orr- C J Spiller. Owned a lot of shares. It’s time to let him go. On my deep bench teams, I have held onto him for much longer than I should have.
Josh Johnson – I probably will not drop him everywhere, but I will let the masses know when I drop a certain Redskin RB named Keith Marshall. I know, I know, I feel your eye roll. You can’t tell me your heart doesn’t flutter when you glance over his measurables (4.31 40-time in the 98th percentile). He is currently blocked in Washington by three other backs. Rumors are also swirling about the ‘Skins adding another back in the draft. Why have thou art forsaken, my dear Mr. Marshall? Don’t you know the draft equity have invested in his potential?
Shaun Laibe – Leonte Carroo. Carroo is a guy I was high on in last year’s rookie draft. I still like his talent, but the resigning of Kenny Stills and current depth chart in Miami severely hurt his chances at being fantasy relevant any time soon. I’d love to keep him around, but I need more production out of my bench players.
Shane Manila – Daniel Lasco. With Tim Hightower gone Lasco may be able to slip into the vacated role of “guy that Sean Payton screws over Mark Ingram and Mark Ingram fantasy owners with for no good reason.” Or he could sit on the bench while Travaris Cadet slips into that role. I have stashed Lasco on many of my rosters, but with a draft deep in RB talent he’ll probably end up getting the boot.
Brian Hawkes – Matt Jones. As we approach the 2017 draft, the Redskins, like many backfields, are likely to see some depth chart changes. Jones found himself in the doghouse to close 2016, and I just don’t see him as a consistently talented enough player to land on his feet.
In your eyes what is the most overrated skill when evaluating players? (Rookie or Veteran)
Emmett Kiernan- Basically any combine stat for receivers and running backs. As long as they don’t put up god awful workout numbers, I couldn’t care less. Sure, eye-popping speed and explosion testing isn’t a bad thing, but it’s been proven to have almost no correlation to NFL success. Go with the guys who produced in college.
John Orr – For me it’s always the 40-yard dash at the combine. I have this discussion every year. Trust your eyes from the tape and not the watches at the combine.
Josh Johnson – First off I totally disagree with Shane’s answer. Secondly, I think RB speed is overvalued. Maybe that book has already been written but here is a list of last five years fastest 40-times for RBs:
2012 Lamar Miller 4.34 and LaMichael James 4.35
2013 Onterrio McCalebb 4.34 and Knile Davis 4.37
2014 Dri Archer 4.26 who was a converted into a failure at WR and Jerick McKinnon 4.41
2015 Jeremy Langford 4.42
2016 Keith Marshall 4.31
2017 T.J. Logan 4.37 and Joe Williams 4.41
Only one of those players (Miller) has been considered an elite NFL RB, and he certainly has his critics. Chris Johnson and 4.24 speed ruined rational thought on this matter. Running Backs need to be strong in the hips so they can run through contact. Sixty to seventy-yard touchdown runs don’t happen as often in the NFL as do during every week of the college football season.
Wide Receiver speed is a tad overrated. To be a successful WR, you need to be able to get open consistently. John Ross’s 4.22 speed is awesome, but if you can’t muscle your way through press coverage you will not see a snap majority.
College sack totals are another thing I thoroughly examine. I like to watch all of their career sacks and count how many were versus elite opponents, and many of them were quick pocket collapsing/game-changing happenstances. Also sometimes effort sacks are coverage sacks in disguise. Lastly, it is imperative to note that playing across from an elite player or on a very good defensive unit can embellish your statistical output. I do believe sacks are a translatable trait, but that is meant to be deciphered on a case by case scenario.
Shaun Laibe – I’m not a believer that the number of 225-pound bench press reps means anything in evaluating a Running Back prospect. Take 2016 for example, the top prospect in regards to total reps was Andy Janovich with 30. I mean no disrespect to Mr. Janovich, but he’s not exactly a fantasy stud.
Shane Manila – 40 time for cornerbacks. I am not a defensive guru, not by a long stretch. But if in coverage and you need your straight line speed it probably means you either lost your man or got spun around and are now running as fast as possible to catch up to your man.
Brian Hawkes – The Wonderlic test. There is no correlation between Wonderlic smarts and football ability; the following scored poorly: Frank Gore, Randy Moss, Eric Moulds, Torry Holt, AJ Green, Darrelle Revis, Ray Lewis, Reggie Wayne, Simeon Rice, Eddie George. The following scored very well: Calvin Johnson, Eric Decker, Eli Manning, Ryan Fitzpatrick, Alex Smith, Matthew Stafford, Colin Kaepernick, Tony Romo, Andrew Luck, Sam Bradford, Jared Goff. There is no logical reason to place value on this test; it’s an outdated gimmick; the player interview is much more valuable to gauge a player’s aptitude.